What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Aug 15, 2026

Closes Aug 18, 2026 (39d) 24h volume 8.1K Open interest 7.0K Event When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

8%

implied YES probability

Last 1 days · High 6% · Low 6%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.