kalshi
Mentions
Will Trump say "Windmill" before Jul 27, 2026?
Windmill
100%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 6 days ·
High 99% ·
Low 42%
Other outcomes in this event
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AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing in a near-certainty that Donald Trump will say "Windmill" before July 27, 2026, with a current YES price of 0.99. This suggests that market participants believe the likelihood of this event occurring is extremely high. The current price is likely influenced by known facts such as Trump's history of making unconventional statements and his tendency to use colloquialisms in his public remarks. Any statement or action from Trump that contradicts this prediction would likely cause the YES price to decrease, while a statement or action that reinforces the prediction could drive the price up further. The market will continue to monitor Trump's public statements and actions for any indication of whether he will indeed say "Windmill" before the designated deadline.
Generated Jul 26, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99.0¢ | 913572 | |||
| 96.0¢ | 93 | |||
| 95.0¢ | 200 | |||
| 92.0¢ | 20 | |||
| 75.0¢ | 24 |
Spread 0.0¢ · Mid 0.0¢
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