polymarket Pop Culture

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?

900m+
Closes Aug 31, 2026 (34d) 24h volume $2.6K Open interest $7.4K Event "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
16%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 12 days · High 42% · Low 6% · 7d -15.2pp
42%6%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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