UGL · Expected Move

ProShares Ultra Gold · ETF

The expected move for UGL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

UGL straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current UGL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.33
7-Day Straddle
$4.33
30-Day ATM IV
44.8%
IV Rank
23%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to UGL's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
UGL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $4.33 $4.33 44.8% 23%
20261021 $4.12 $4.12 40.2% 15%
20261020 $4.28 $4.28 41.0% 17%
20261019 $4.20 $4.20 39.6% 14%
20261016 $4.70 $0.30 41.6% 18%
20261015 $4.65 $1.00 40.5% 16%
20261014 $4.58 $1.25 40.4% 16%
20261013 $4.80 $1.50 40.3% 16%
20261012 $5.08 $1.80 42.3% 19%
20260302 $10.10 $10.10 62.4% 55%
20260227 $9.50 $9.50 60.8% 52%
20260226 $9.30 $9.30 60.0% 51%
20260225 $9.85 $9.85 62.7% 56%
20260224 $10.75 $10.75 67.4% 64%
20260223 $11.95 $11.95 69.4% 68%
20260221 $10.55 $10.55 — —
20260220 $10.50 $1.17 63.4% 57%
20260219 $9.80 $2.27 60.4% 52%
20260218 $9.70 $2.65 58.8% 49%
20260217 $9.00 $3.20 56.7% 45%
20260213 $10.00 $4.35 54.3% 41%
20260212 $9.85 $4.78 55.6% 43%
20260211 $10.15 $4.92 53.2% 39%
20260210 $9.75 $5.35 52.4% 37%
20260209 $11.15 $6.47 58.9% 49%
20260206 $12.05 $7.35 63.5% 57%
20260205 $11.75 $8.05 65.5% 61%
20260204 $8.65 $8.65 68.4% 66%
20260203 $10.00 $10.00 74.6% 77%
20260202 $8.40 $8.40 67.8% 65%
20260130 $11.85 $11.85 84.1% 94%
20260129 $15.45 $15.45 87.2% 100%
20260128 $13.55 $13.55 76.4% 100%
20260127 $10.45 $10.45 62.5% 100%
20260126 $9.80 $9.80 61.5% 100%
20260123 $9.40 $9.40 55.8% 83%
20260122 $8.55 $8.55 54.0% 77%
20260121 $7.65 $7.65 48.3% 59%
20260120 $7.25 $7.25 46.4% 53%
20260116 $6.50 $0.60 42.2% 39%
20260115 $6.70 $1.43 42.6% 41%
20260114 $7.10 $1.82 43.9% 45%
20260113 $6.85 $2.33 43.2% 42%
20260112 $7.50 $2.75 46.0% 51%
20260109 $7.03 $2.80 44.8% 47%
20260108 $7.90 $2.97 47.4% 56%
20260107 $7.15 $3.42 44.4% 46%
20260106 $7.85 $3.77 46.9% 54%
20260105 $7.80 $3.92 47.1% 55%
20260102 $3.50 $3.50 43.6% 45%
20251231 $4.42 $4.42 45.7% 53%
20251230 $4.08 $4.08 45.0% 52%
20251229 $5.00 $5.00 48.7% 63%
20251226 $5.80 $5.80 47.9% 61%
20251224 $5.50 $5.50 45.7% 54%
20251223 $5.62 $5.62 45.5% 54%
20251222 $5.72 $5.72 46.4% 57%
20251219 $4.65 $0.85 37.6% 31%
20251218 $5.17 $1.27 40.4% 39%
20251217 $5.12 $1.58 39.3% 36%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.