K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 29, 2026

5 outcomesSettles Sep 30, 2026 (0d)
50/50 line57%Above 82,000 MW
Line nearest 50/50
57%
Above 82,000 MW
Market median
82533.3MW
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+98 pts
92%
Above 78,000 MW
24h volume
$4K
$4K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 78,500 MW 92% +98
Above 78,000 MW 92% +98
Above 82,000 MW 57% +57
Above 86,000 MW 4% +1
Above 87,000 MW 0% +1

What the market expects

median 82533.3MW

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

All outcomes

5
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 78,500 MW 92% +98.0 $8 $8
Above 78,000 MW 92% +98.0 $611 $611
Above 82,000 MW 57% +57.0 $2K $2K
Above 86,000 MW 4% +1.0 $494 $494
Above 87,000 MW 0% +1.0 $865 $865