What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 57%, implying a 57% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 147 million

Closes Sep 04, 2026 (34d) 24h volume 315 Open interest 1.3K Event Airbnb bookings in Q2

57%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 35 days · High 85% · Low 28% · 7d +1.7pp · 30d +100.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.