What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 200K

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (46d) 24h volume 74 Open interest 143 Event Music, Fashion, Film: First Week Album Equivalent Units

implied YES probability

Last 5 days · High 3% · Low 1%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.