What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 28, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Microsoft

Closes Jul 28, 2026 (0d) 24h volume — Open interest 2.9K Event Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?

50%

implied YES probability

Last 16 days · High 99% · Low 59% · 7d +10.0pp

MSFT Microsoft Corp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.