What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Basel 3

chance of YES40%

Price range (10h)

44–44%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

101

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 10h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.