What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 12, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 6.6 million

Closes May 12, 2027 (283d) 24h volume — Open interest 203 Event Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026

4%

implied YES probability

Last 2 days · High 5% · Low 4%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.