What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

John Hallquist Lithen

Settles Oct 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Hallquist Lithen vs Tomizawa

chance of YES0%

Price range (17h)

1–77%

24h volume

1.0M

$1 contracts

Open interest

409.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$170K

48% on YES

hourly, 17h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 2:10 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,593	$2K
Oct 2, 2:09 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,571	$2K
Oct 2, 2:09 PM ET	NO	98¢	6,497	$6K
Oct 2, 2:06 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,554	$2K
Oct 2, 2:04 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,306	$1K
Oct 2, 2:01 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,694	$2K
Oct 2, 2:00 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,833	$2K
Oct 2, 2:00 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,490	$2K
Oct 2, 2:00 PM ET	NO	98¢	2,937	$3K
Oct 2, 2:00 PM ET	NO	98¢	4,671	$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.