What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Dragos Nicolae Madaras

Settles Oct 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Madaras vs Paardekooper

chance of YES0%

Price range (20h)

1–87%

24h volume

181.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

126.2K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$25K

48% on YES

hourly, 20h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 10:48 AM ET	NO	99¢	4,796	$5K
Oct 2, 10:44 AM ET	NO	95¢	1,318	$1K
Oct 2, 10:39 AM ET	NO	92¢	2,126	$2K
Oct 2, 10:39 AM ET	NO	92¢	1,266	$1K
Oct 2, 10:39 AM ET	NO	88¢	4,442	$4K
Oct 2, 10:26 AM ET	YES	46¢	14,452	$7K
Oct 2, 10:21 AM ET	YES	45¢	4,255	$2K
Oct 2, 10:12 AM ET	YES	59¢	2,126	$1K
Oct 2, 10:01 AM ET	YES	85¢	2,333	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.