What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Alejandro Moro Canas

Settles Oct 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Moro Canas vs Vives Marcos

chance of YES100%

Price range (18h)

68–99%

24h volume

318.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

326.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$225K

100% on YES

hourly, 18h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 2:47 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,370	$2K
Oct 2, 2:45 PM ET	YES	99¢	4,177	$4K
Oct 2, 2:45 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,079	$1K
Oct 2, 2:43 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,205	$1K
Oct 2, 2:43 PM ET	YES	99¢	10,093	$10K
Oct 2, 2:43 PM ET	YES	99¢	8,470	$8K
Oct 2, 2:43 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,100	$1K
Oct 2, 2:43 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,885	$2K
Oct 2, 2:43 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,942	$3K
Oct 2, 2:42 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,404	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.