What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Aryan Shah

Settles Oct 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Papamalamis vs Shah

chance of YES0%

Price range (14h)

1–50%

24h volume

668.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

336.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$157K

58% on YES

hourly, 14h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 4:44 PM ET	NO	96¢	2,083	$2K
Oct 2, 4:43 PM ET	YES	12¢	18,568	$2K
Oct 2, 4:43 PM ET	NO	95¢	19,323	$18K
Oct 2, 4:42 PM ET	NO	94¢	1,793	$2K
Oct 2, 4:42 PM ET	NO	94¢	1,156	$1K
Oct 2, 4:42 PM ET	NO	94¢	1,705	$2K
Oct 2, 4:42 PM ET	NO	94¢	1,944	$2K
Oct 2, 4:42 PM ET	NO	93¢	2,466	$2K
Oct 2, 4:41 PM ET	NO	83¢	18,796	$16K
Oct 2, 4:41 PM ET	NO	82¢	1,247	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.