What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Celia Cervino Ruiz

Settles Oct 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Cervino Ruiz vs Berecoechea

chance of YES100%

Price range (11h)

31–99%

24h volume

157.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

138.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$77K

97% on YES

hourly, 11h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 9:07 AM ET	YES	99¢	10,534	$10K
Oct 2, 9:06 AM ET	YES	82¢	12,079	$10K
Oct 2, 9:06 AM ET	YES	81¢	1,256	$1K
Oct 2, 9:06 AM ET	YES	79¢	7,749	$6K
Oct 2, 9:06 AM ET	YES	78¢	2,451	$2K
Oct 2, 9:06 AM ET	YES	77¢	1,749	$1K
Oct 2, 9:05 AM ET	YES	68¢	1,861	$1K
Oct 2, 9:04 AM ET	YES	57¢	2,504	$1K
Oct 2, 9:03 AM ET	NO	51¢	4,035	$2K
Oct 2, 9:00 AM ET	YES	81¢	4,035	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.