What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Manon Leonard

Settles Oct 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Leonard vs Van den Broek

chance of YES0%

Price range (9h)

1–66%

24h volume

200.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

105.2K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$46K

54% on YES

hourly, 9h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 8:38 AM ET	NO	98¢	4,413	$4K
Oct 2, 8:35 AM ET	NO	91¢	1,309	$1K
Oct 2, 8:32 AM ET	NO	82¢	2,660	$2K
Oct 2, 8:28 AM ET	YES	29¢	8,139	$2K
Oct 2, 8:25 AM ET	NO	70¢	12,061	$8K
Oct 2, 8:24 AM ET	YES	40¢	12,061	$5K
Oct 2, 8:19 AM ET	YES	55¢	4,413	$2K
Oct 2, 8:18 AM ET	YES	55¢	2,660	$1K
Oct 2, 8:16 AM ET	YES	46¢	4,165	$2K
Oct 2, 8:08 AM ET	NO	63¢	1,818	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.