What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Pilar Da Silva

Settles Oct 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Moyano vs Da Silva

chance of YES0%

Price range (5h)

1–9%

24h volume

235.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

136.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$27K

0% on YES

hourly, 5h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 12:10 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,058	$2K
Oct 2, 12:10 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,092	$1K
Oct 2, 12:08 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,433	$2K
Oct 2, 11:58 AM ET	NO	96¢	5,987	$6K
Oct 2, 11:56 AM ET	NO	96¢	4,126	$4K
Oct 2, 11:56 AM ET	NO	95¢	1,174	$1K
Oct 2, 11:48 AM ET	NO	91¢	1,257	$1K
Oct 2, 11:48 AM ET	NO	90¢	1,300	$1K
Oct 2, 11:44 AM ET	NO	95¢	1,194	$1K
Oct 2, 11:37 AM ET	NO	83¢	2,688	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.