What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Lourdes Ayala

Settles Oct 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Sanchez vs Ayala

chance of YES0%

Price range (15h)

1–15%

24h volume

601.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

300.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$86K

5% on YES

hourly, 15h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 2:16 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,120	$2K
Oct 2, 2:15 PM ET	NO	99¢	4,390	$4K
Oct 2, 2:12 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,176	$2K
Oct 2, 2:12 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,258	$1K
Oct 2, 2:11 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,563	$2K
Oct 2, 2:10 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,847	$2K
Oct 2, 2:10 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,563	$2K
Oct 2, 2:09 PM ET	NO	99¢	5,000	$5K
Oct 2, 2:09 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,171	$1K
Oct 2, 2:08 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,828	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.