What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Maria Florencia Urrutia

Settles Oct 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Zornada vs Urrutia

chance of YES100%

Price range (6h)

56–99%

24h volume

1.1M

$1 contracts

Open interest

634.6K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$372K

92% on YES

hourly, 6h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 5:49 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,388	$1K
Oct 2, 5:49 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,028	$3K
Oct 2, 5:49 PM ET	YES	99¢	5,046	$5K
Oct 2, 5:48 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,281	$2K
Oct 2, 5:48 PM ET	YES	98¢	5,946	$6K
Oct 2, 5:48 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,622	$2K
Oct 2, 5:48 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,037	$2K
Oct 2, 5:48 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,955	$2K
Oct 2, 5:47 PM ET	YES	97¢	4,598	$4K
Oct 2, 5:47 PM ET	NO	7¢	52,126	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.