What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 48%, implying a 48% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 1.815 million

Closes Sep 03, 2026 (32d) 24h volume 217 Open interest 781 Event Marriott International total rooms in Q2

48%

implied YES probability

Last 20 days · High 56% · Low 34% · 7d -2.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.