What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

BUF Bills wins by over 7.5 points

Settles Oct 06, 2026 (3d) All outcomes: NE Patriots vs BUF Bills: Spread

chance of YES44% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

43–45%

24h volume

9.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

20.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$3K

43% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 1, 12:49 AM ET	NO	56¢	3,464	$2K
Sep 28, 1:34 AM ET	YES	46¢	3,163	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.