What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 131.5 million

Closes Aug 29, 2026 (37d) 24h volume 113 Open interest 1.1K Event Reddit daily active uniques in Q2

28%

implied YES probability

Last 11 days · High 48% · Low 26% · 7d -36.6pp

RDDT Reddit, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.