What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

above 132 million

Closes Aug 29, 2026 (37d) 24h volume 228 Open interest 2.9K Event Reddit daily active uniques in Q2

24%

implied YES probability

-16.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 41% · Low 10% · 7d +51.8pp

RDDT Reddit, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.