What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 60

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (9d) All outcomes: Other Mommy · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES46%

Price range (120d)

45–52%

· 7d -6 pts

24h volume

2.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

12.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$3K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 1, 11:48 AM ET	YES	47¢	4,103	$2K
Sep 27, 11:36 AM ET	YES	51¢	2,830	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.