What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 64%, implying a 64% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 50

chance of YES64%

Price range (120d)

50–65%

· 7d +0 pts

24h volume

1.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

5.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$3K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Sep 20, 8:50 PM ET	YES	64¢	2,003	$1K
Sep 18, 3:53 PM ET	YES	61¢	3,201	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.