What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 492 million

Closes Sep 03, 2026 (78d) 24h volume 59 Open interest 1.6K Event Snap daily active users in Q2

28%

implied YES probability

+7.0pp 24h

Last 13 days · High 30% · Low 23% · 7d -11.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.