What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 12, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 16.2 billion

Closes May 12, 2027 (283d) 24h volume — Open interest 5 Event Uber trips in fiscal 2026

40%

implied YES probability

Last 2 days · High 46% · Low 39%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.