What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Stephanie Bruna Luciano

Closes Aug 15, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 772.2K Open interest 695.2K Event Fight Night: Spasic vs Luciano

100%

implied YES probability

+23.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 76% · Low 75%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.