What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before September

Closes Sep 01, 2026 (76d) 24h volume 14.7K Open interest 299.4K Event US-Iran nuclear deal?

28%

implied YES probability

-10.0pp 24h

Last 68 days · High 70% · Low 21% · 7d +81.0pp · 30d +11.8pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 32.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.