What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before November

Closes Nov 01, 2026 (137d) 24h volume 3.9K Open interest 26.4K Event US-Iran nuclear deal?

50%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 27 days · High 69% · Low 29% · 7d +66.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.