K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?

Before Dec 1, 2026
Settles Dec 01, 2026 (43d) All outcomes: US-Iran nuclear deal?

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Preview
chance of YES6% -5.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
4–23%
30d -14 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
1.8K
$1 contracts
Open interest
173.8K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
7¢ / 8¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
7.0¢ 10,000 8.0¢ 0
6.0¢ 21,570 9.0¢ 1,636
5.0¢ 22,337 10.0¢ 3,668
4.0¢ 3,858 11.0¢ 750
3.0¢ 10,281 17.0¢ 25

Mid 7.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

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