kalshi Politics

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?

Before 2027
Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 6.6K Open interest 380.8K Event US-Iran nuclear deal?
62%
implied YES probability
-2.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 78% · Low 34% · 7d +27.1pp · 30d +24.5pp
78%34%

Other outcomes in this event

Before Jan 20, 2029
78% YES
24h vol 230
Before 2028
70% YES
24h vol 194
Before December
54% YES
24h vol 2.2K
Before November
50% YES
24h vol 3.9K
Before October
40% YES
24h vol 6.5K
Before September
26% YES
24h vol 22.4K
Before August
12% YES
24h vol 66.4K
Before July
8% YES
24h vol 350.4K

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
63.0¢ 47 64.0¢ 818
62.0¢ 34 65.0¢ 57
61.0¢ 209 66.0¢ 2357
60.0¢ 408 67.0¢ 155
59.0¢ 161 68.0¢ 1080
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 63.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.