K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?

Before Jan 20, 2029
Settles Jan 20, 2029 (824d) All outcomes: US-Iran nuclear deal?

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Preview
chance of YES38% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
24–58%
30d +9 pts · 7d -10 pts
24h volume
193
$1 contracts
Open interest
35.9K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
38¢ / 40¢
spread 2.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
38.0¢ 74 40.0¢ 7
37.0¢ 80 41.0¢ 69
36.0¢ 41 42.0¢ 37
35.0¢ 1,023 43.0¢ 148
31.0¢ 5 44.0¢ 606

Mid 39.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

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