K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?

Before Mar 1, 2027
Settles Mar 01, 2027 (133d) All outcomes: US-Iran nuclear deal?

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chance of YES16%
Price range (120d)
7–35%
30d +18 pts · 7d -41 pts
24h volume
1.1K
$1 contracts
Open interest
43.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$3K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Before Jan 20, 202938%193
Before Jan 1, 202832%1.7K
Before Jan 1, 202710%12.2K
Before Dec 1, 20266%1.8K
Before Nov 1, 20262%9.2K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO85¢ 3,231$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.