K KalshiPolitics & Elections

US-Iran nuclear deal?

6 outcomesSettles Jan 20, 2029 (824d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite38%Before Jan 20, 2029
Favorite
38%
Before Jan 20, 2029
Runner-up
32%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Biggest 24h move-5 pts
6%
Before Dec 1, 2026
24h volume
$26K
$1.6M open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

one winner
Before Jan 20, 2029 38%
Before Jan 1, 2028 32% -4
Before Mar 1, 2027 16% +1
Before Jan 1, 2027 10% -5
Before Dec 1, 2026 6% -5
Before Nov 1, 2026 2%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Before Jan 1, 2027
    YES $0 · NO $22K · 5 orders · biggest $10K
  • Before Nov 1, 2026
    YES $0 · NO $7K · 2 orders · biggest $6K
  • Before Mar 1, 2027
    YES $0 · NO $3K · 1 orders · biggest $3K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 89¢$10K
Before Nov 1, 2026NO 99¢$6K
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 88¢$2K
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 88¢$2K
Before Nov 1, 2026NO 99¢$1K
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 87¢$2K
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 89¢$6K
Before Mar 1, 2027NO 85¢$3K

All outcomes

6
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Before Jan 20, 2029 38% +0.5 $193 $36K
Before Jan 1, 2028 32% -4.0 $2K $44K
Before Mar 1, 2027 16% +1.0 $1K $43K
Before Jan 1, 2027 10% -4.9 $12K $473K
Before Dec 1, 2026 6% -5.0 $2K $174K
Before Nov 1, 2026 2% -0.5 $9K $801K