K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?

Before Jan 1, 2028
Settles Jan 01, 2028 (439d) All outcomes: US-Iran nuclear deal?

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chance of YES32% -4.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
15–49%
30d +12 pts · 7d -27 pts
24h volume
1.7K
$1 contracts
Open interest
43.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

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