What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 70%, implying a 70% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before 2028

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume 194 Open interest 19.4K Event US-Iran nuclear deal?

70%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 61 days · High 87% · Low 63% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d +7.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.