What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 7%, implying a 7% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Ceasefire

Closes Aug 15, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 32.7K Open interest 31.6K Event What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

implied YES probability

-33.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 1% · Low 1%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.