What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Before 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 27 Open interest 31.4K Event Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

8%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 72 days · High 13% · Low 7% · 7d -22.2pp · 30d -22.2pp

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.