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Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

120-139
Closes Aug 04, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $320 Open interest $298.3K Event Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 8 days · High 7% · Low 0% · 7d -98.8pp
7%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 28 12:00 PM ET to August 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

260-279
28% YES
24h vol $22.1K
240-259
26% YES
24h vol $29.9K
280-299
19% YES
24h vol $24.8K
220-239
12% YES
24h vol $30.0K
300-319
9% YES
24h vol $35.5K
200-219
4% YES
24h vol $48.6K
320-339
3% YES
24h vol $35.9K
340-359
1% YES
24h vol $32.0K

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.