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Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
38%
implied YES probability
Price history
Not enough price history yet.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Recent news mentioning this market
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Sony's Spider-Man: Brand New Day tracks toward a huge box office weekend
Seeking Alpha · 22h ago
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‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ sets domestic box office preview record with $72 million
CNBC Business · 22h ago
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IBD · 23h ago
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