Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock(TPST)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

TPST $10.14
Snapshot
$10.14
After hours $0.86 -1.07%
52-Week Range
$0.87 – $6.12
YTD
+587.46%
IV Rank (30D)
0.0
Straddle Price
$1.55
P/C Vol Ratio
0.83
Market Cap
$0.0B
Fair Value
MODEL: LONG

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.71%
Beta vs SPY1.00
Cost of Equity (CAPM)9.46% (VRP-adj)
WACC9.38%
Volatility Risk Premium-60.4pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj -25bps
Effective Tax Rate21.0%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+3.0%
DCF Horizon5 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$-0.0B
Return on Equity (TTM)-5243.1%
Book / Price15.1%
Debt / Equity0.00
Quality Score1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF)
SMA 50$1.27 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$1.00
Bollinger Width / SMA202411.8% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$-0.0B
Market Cap$0B
Model Conviction
59%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Aug 26, 2026
$0.91
α +5.0% rank 88%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Sep 24, 2026
$0.95
α +8.9% rank 83%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Oct 23, 2026
$0.93
α +7.1% rank 91%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF n/a 0%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E n/a 0%
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0%
Peer P/B n/a 0%
Peer P/S n/a 0%
Market Anchor (SMA50) $1.27 100% stability 76% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-07-28 · updated
Info
Industry (SIC)
PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (2834)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.0B

Tempest Therapeutics Inc is a late-stage develpment biotechnology company developing small molecule therapeutics to treat cancer through mechanisms that directly kill tumor cells and activate tumor-specific immunity. Its clinical-stage therapeutic product candidates are TPST-1120 and TPST-1495 which are clinical-stage molecules designed to inhibit their respective targets. Company's small-molecule product candidate, amezalpat (previously known as TPST-1120), has completed a Phase 2 study in first-line hepatocellular carcinoma and the second small-molecule product candidate is TPST-1495, plans …

Summary
composite
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +25.17% 5
Feb -11.42% 5
Mar -0.74% 5
Apr -2.85% 5
May -17.34% 5
Jun -18.76% 6
Jul -4.34% 6
Aug -7.52% 5
Sep -9.05% 5
Oct +233.79% 5
Nov -21.29% 5
Dec -13.69% 5
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $0.99
SMA 50: $1.25
SMA 200: $2.18
Current: $0.87
EMA 12: $0.96
EMA 26: $1.05
MACD: -0.0923 | Signal: 0.0088
BEARISH
ADX (14): 32.73
TREND
+DI: 11.84
−DI: 25.25
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 28.00
OVERSOLD
Stoch %K: 18.60
Stoch %D: 17.79
Williams %R: -99.32
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $1.12
BB Lower: $0.87
NEUTRAL
OBV: 4,399,385
Vol SMA 20: 187,226
Vol ROC: -15.42%
ATR: $0.08
True Range: $0.09
HV 20: 62.2%
HV 30: 62.7%
HV 60: 71.6%

Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-07-30T00:00:00 – 2026-07-28T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Earnings History
5 of 5 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
167.35%
Avg Actual Move
6.88%
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2024-08-08 After-Close 466.67% 14.07% 0.03x Within
2024-11-12 After-Close 254.85% 5.83% 0.02x Within
2025-03-27 After-Close 62.50% 3.70% 0.06x Within
2025-05-13 Pre-Market 32.14% 0.80% 0.02x Within
2025-08-11 After-Close 20.60% 9.99% 0.48x Within
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
0.0
IV Rank (7D)
0.0
Avg IV
0.0%
Straddle (30D)
$1.55
Straddle (7D)
$1.55
P/C Volume
0.83
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
1.12
Correlation (SPY)
10.3%
0.01
Ann. Volatility
138.9%
SPY Volatility
12.7%

Above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-06-30
Diluted shares outstanding: 5,831,098 (as of 2026-03-31)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

21 filers647,606 shares$1.27M value11.11% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 162,560 $466.55K 36.86% 2.79% 2025-12-31
2 Versant Venture Management, LLC 269,772 $442.43K 34.95% 4.63% 2026-03-31
3 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 86,990 $142.67K 11.27% 1.49% 2026-03-31
4 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 39,068 $64.07K 5.06% 0.67% 2026-03-31
5 FMR LLC Custodian 33,225 $54.49K 4.30% 0.57% 2026-03-31
6 SABBY MANAGEMENT, LLC 17,856 $29.28K 2.31% 0.31% 2026-03-31
7 NORTHERN TRUST CORP Custodian 14,053 $23.05K 1.82% 0.24% 2026-03-31
8 DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP Custodian 11,444 $18.77K 1.48% 0.20% 2026-03-31
9 UBS Group AG Custodian 4,533 $7.43K 0.59% 0.08% 2026-03-31
10 MORGAN STANLEY Custodian 2,058 $5.91K 0.47% 0.04% 2025-12-31
11 Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC) Custodian 2,790 $4.58K 0.36% 0.05% 2026-03-31
12 CIBC Private Wealth Group LLC 1,080 $3.10K 0.24% 0.02% 2025-12-31
13 OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC. Custodian 1,529 $2.50K 0.20% 0.03% 2026-03-31
14 Federation des caisses Desjardins du Quebec Custodian 292 $479 0.04% <0.01% 2026-03-31
15 JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLP Custodian 239 $413 0.03% <0.01% 2026-03-31
16 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 56 $62 <0.01% <0.01% 2026-06-30
17 Parallel Advisors, LLC 18 $30 <0.01% <0.01% 2026-03-31
18 CITIGROUP INC Custodian 8 $13 <0.01% <0.01% 2026-03-31
19 JPMORGAN CHASE & CO Custodian 5 $8 <0.01% <0.01% 2026-03-31
20 BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS Custodian 3 $5 <0.01% <0.01% 2026-03-31
21 ROYAL BANK OF CANADA Custodian 27 $0 0.00% <0.01% 2026-03-31
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
Insider Activity
Latest: 2026-06-23
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-06-23 Matthew Angel CEO and President Buy (P) +231,482 $2.16 $500.0K EDGAR
2026-06-17 John D. Yee Director Grant (A) +25,000 opt EDGAR
2026-06-08 William Drake Richey Director Grant (A) +25,000 opt EDGAR
2026-04-02 Nicholas Maestas Chief Financial Officer Grant (A) +140,000 opt EDGAR
2026-04-02 Justin Trojanowski Corporate Controller Grant (A) +22,000 opt EDGAR
2026-03-25 Matthew Angel CEO and President Buy (P) +231,482 $2.16 $500.0K EDGAR
2026-02-06 Matthew Angel CEO and President Grant (A) +269,621 opt EDGAR
2026-01-28 MICHAEL RAAB Director Grant (A) +1,230 opt EDGAR
2026-01-28 Ronit Simantov Director Grant (A) +1,230 opt EDGAR
2026-01-28 GEOFFREY NICHOL Director Grant (A) +1,230 opt EDGAR
2026-01-28 Christine A Pellizzari Director Grant (A) +1,230 opt EDGAR
2025-01-06 Stephen R Brady President and CEO Grant (A) +550,000 opt EDGAR
2025-01-06 Samuel Whiting Chief Medical Officer Grant (A) +270,000 opt EDGAR
2025-01-06 Justin Trojanowski Corporate Controller Grant (A) +30,000 opt EDGAR
2025-01-06 Nicholas Maestas Chief Financial Officer Grant (A) +200,000 opt EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
Insider Holdings
10 insiders · @ $0.87
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Matthew Angel CEO and President 5,068,552 $4.41M $1.00M 3 2026-06-23
2 Versant Side Fund IV, L.P. 10%+ Owner 272,159 $237.1K -$8.70M 1 2024-08-12
3 Thomas Woiwode Director 180,168 $156.9K $5.00M 5 2022-06-22
4 Versant Ventures VI GP-GP, LLC 10%+ Owner 154,664 $134.7K $0 1 2022-05-03
5 Stella Xu Director 89,186 $77.7K $0 3 2021-09-20
6 Thomas W. Dubensky President 17,437 $15.2K $9.6K 5 2023-01-05
7 Stephen R Brady President and CEO 7,135 $6.2K $73.8K 8 2025-01-06
8 Justin Trojanowski Corporate Controller 3,410 $3.0K $16.2K 7 2026-04-02
9 Samuel Whiting Chief Medical Officer 1,473 $1.3K $18.1K 9 2025-01-06
10 Pierre Lorenzo Corporate Controller 8 $7 $0 3 2022-06-22
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
Notice of Proposed Sale (Form 144)
Latest: 2024-08-13
Last 30d: 0 filings  ·  Last 90d: 0 filings

What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.

How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.

10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.

"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. Amendments (Form 144/A) and post-cancellation refilings can inflate this if you sum naively; the rollup above excludes filings with zero stated value.

Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.

Filed Filer Role Shares Notice Value Planned Sale Broker Plan Link
2024-08-13 Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. Owner 387,999 $427.0K 2024-08-12 Jones Trading Institutional Serv… EDGAR
2024-08-09 Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. 10% Stockholder 400,000 $7.21M 2024-08-08 BTIG, LLC EDGAR
2023-11-02 Dubensky Thomas W. Officer, Director 30,000 $131.5K 2023-10-25 Merrill Lynch EDGAR
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

P/B Ratio18.1
EV/EBITDA-0.3
TTM Net Income$-0.0B
TTM EPS$-6.01
ROE-5243.1%