K KalshiCulture & Media

The Social Reckoning · Rotten Tomatoes score

10 outcomesSettles Oct 12, 2026 (9d)
50/50 line55%Above 70
Line nearest 50/50
55%
Above 70
Market median
71.282
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move-8 pts
36%
Above 75
24h volume
$58K
$85K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 45 96% +2
Above 50 90% +2
Above 55 86% +6
Above 60 80% +5
Above 65 76% +5
Above 70 55% -5
Above 75 36% -8
Above 80 18% -7
Above 85 6% -5
Above 90 2% -3

What the market expects

median 71.282

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 90
    YES $0 · NO $35K · 6 orders · biggest $20K
  • Above 80
    YES $0 · NO $7K · 2 orders · biggest $5K
  • Above 65
    YES $6K · NO $0 · 3 orders · biggest $3K
  • Above 85
    YES $0 · NO $6K · 2 orders · biggest $4K
  • Above 60
    YES $6K · NO $0 · 3 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 50
    YES $5K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $4K
  • Above 45
    YES $3K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 75
    YES $0 · NO $3K · 2 orders · biggest $2K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 70NO 42¢$1K
Above 75NO 62¢$1K
Above 90NO 99¢$2K
Above 90NO 99¢$3K
Above 80NO 83¢$1K
Above 85NO 93¢$2K
Above 90NO 99¢$2K
Above 90NO 99¢$1K
Above 90NO 99¢$6K
Above 75NO 58¢$2K

All outcomes

10
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 45 96% +2.0 $3K $3K
Above 50 90% +1.5 $2K $3K
Above 55 86% +5.5 $2K $3K
Above 60 80% +5.0 $2K $5K
Above 65 76% +5.0 $737 $8K
Above 70 55% -5.0 $4K $8K
Above 75 36% -8.0 $5K $9K
Above 80 18% -7.0 $2K $10K
Above 85 6% -5.0 $3K $9K
Above 90 2% -3.0 $34K $27K

Same series