kalshi
Elections
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
Republican Party
16%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 27% ·
Low 16%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d -5.6pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a 16% probability that Republicans will win the House in 2026, with a YES price of 0.17. This assessment is informed by known facts such as the current political landscape and historical trends. The market is asking whether the Republican party can regain control of the House after losing it in the previous election cycle. A change in the probability of Republicans winning the House would require significant shifts in voter sentiment, candidate recruitment, or external factors influencing the outcome.
Generated Jul 29, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.0¢ | 211891 | 17.0¢ | 346496 | |
| 15.0¢ | 314933 | 18.0¢ | 170173 | |
| 14.0¢ | 130410 | 19.0¢ | 12538 | |
| 13.0¢ | 151705 | 20.0¢ | 26145 | |
| 12.0¢ | 32378 | 21.0¢ | 4538 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 16.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.