kalshi
Elections
Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
Republican Party
54%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 61% ·
Low 52%
· 7d -5.3pp
· 30d -10.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the Republicans winning the U.S. Senate in 2026 currently indicates a 55% probability, with a YES price of 0.55. This assessment is informed by known facts such as the current political landscape and historical trends in midterm elections. The market is asking whether the Republican party will gain control of the Senate in the next election cycle. A change in the current price would likely require significant shifts in voter sentiment, candidate performances, or external factors influencing the outcome.
Generated Jul 15, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.0¢ | 4244 | 54.0¢ | 452 | |
| 52.0¢ | 28336 | 55.0¢ | 61410 | |
| 51.0¢ | 4301 | 56.0¢ | 55993 | |
| 50.0¢ | 51394 | 57.0¢ | 4251 | |
| 49.0¢ | 2561 | 58.0¢ | 707 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 53.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.