What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Apr 27, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 83.5%

Closes Apr 27, 2027 (222d) 24h volume 405 Open interest 1.7K Event American Airlines passenger load factor in fiscal 2026

28%

implied YES probability

-10.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 44% · Low 34%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.