What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2031. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Before Jan 1, 2031

Closes Jan 01, 2031 (1613d) 24h volume — Open interest 3.0K Event When will any company achieve AGI?

80%

implied YES probability

-1.5pp 24h

Last 20 days · High 95% · Low 63% · 7d -14.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.