What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 16M

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (26d) All outcomes: PRESS PLAY: First Week Streams

chance of YES50% -3.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

36–53%

24h volume

548

$1 contracts

Open interest

559

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.