K KalshiCulture & Media

PRESS PLAY: First Week Streams

4 outcomesSettles Nov 01, 2026 (26d)
50/50 line50%Above 20M
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Above 20M
Market median
12M
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move-4 pts
49%
Above 16M
24h volume
$1K
$1K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 20M 50% -4
Above 16M 49% -4
Above 14M 49% +8
Above 12M 45% -6

What the market expects

median 12M

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 1M
    YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 1MYES 97¢$1K

All outcomes

4
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 20M 50% -4.5 $442 $450
Above 16M 49% -4.0 $548 $559
Above 14M 49% +8.0 $200 $211
Above 12M 45% -6.0 $200 $206

Same series