QRÖMELIFE: First Week Streams

10 outcomesSettles Oct 11, 2026 (5d)

50/50 line50%Above 5M

Line nearest 50/50

50%

Above 5M

Market median

even odds of landing above or below

Biggest 24h move+43 pts

50%

Above 5M

24h volume

$991

$3K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

Above 10M 98%

Above 100K 96% +1

Above 50K 92%

Above 250K 90% +1

Above 500K 80% +1

Above 1M 80% +1

Above 2M 80% +1

Above 3.5M 80% +2

Above 5M 50% +43

Above 7.5M 50%

median 5M

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Outcome	Odds	24h change	24h volume	Open interest
Above 10M	98%	—	$20	$20
Above 100K	96%	+1.0	$20	$271
Above 50K	92%	—	$20	$745
Above 250K	90%	+1.0	$314	$659
Above 500K	80%	+1.0	$21	$297
Above 1M	80%	+1.0	$21	$297
Above 2M	80%	+1.0	$21	$121
Above 3.5M	80%	+2.0	$21	$26
Above 5M	50%	+43.0	$513	$518
Above 7.5M	50%	—	$20	$20