What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 1M

Settles Oct 11, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: QRÖMELIFE: First Week Streams

chance of YES80% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

97–99%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

297

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.